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      "story_id": "arxiv:oai:arXiv.org:2411.10109v2",
      "title": "LLM Agents Grounded in Self-Reports Enable General-Purpose Simulation of Individuals",
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.10109",
      "source_domain": "arxiv.org",
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      "badges": [
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      "context": "Submission history From: Michael Bernstein [view email][v1] Fri, 15 Nov 2024 11:14:34 UTC (2,928 KB) [v2] Wed, 22 Apr 2026 03:48:01 UTC (5,565 KB) Current browse context: cs.AI References & Citations Loading...",
      "whats_new": "We test whether large language models (LLMs) can support a more general-purpose approach by building person-specific simulations (i.e., \"generative agents\") grounded in self-report data.",
      "key_details": [
        "We test whether large language models (LLMs) can support a more general-purpose approach by building person-specific simulations (i.e., \"generative agents\") grounded in self-report data.",
        "Using data from a diverse national sample of 1,052 Americans, we build agents from (i) two-hour, semi-structured interviews (elicited using the American Voices Project interview schedule), (ii) structured surveys (the General Social Survey and Big Five pers...",
        "On held-out General Social Survey items, agent accuracy reached 83% (interview only), 82% (surveys only), and 86% (combined) of participants' two-week test-retest consistency, compared with agents prompted only with individuals' demographics (74%).",
        "Agents predicted personality traits and behaviors in experiments with similar accuracy, and reduced disparities in accuracy across racial and ideological groups relative to demographics-only baselines."
      ],
      "results_evidence": [
        "arXiv:2411.10109v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Machine learning can predict human behavior well when substantial structured data and well-defined outcomes are available, but these models are typically limited to specific outcomes and cannot readily be...",
        "Using data from a diverse national sample of 1,052 Americans, we build agents from (i) two-hour, semi-structured interviews (elicited using the American Voices Project interview schedule), (ii) structured surveys (the General Social Survey and Big Five pers...",
        "On held-out General Social Survey items, agent accuracy reached 83% (interview only), 82% (surveys only), and 86% (combined) of participants' two-week test-retest consistency, compared with agents prompted only with individuals' demographics (74%)."
      ],
      "limitations_unknowns": [
        "arXiv:2411.10109v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Machine learning can predict human behavior well when substantial structured data and well-defined outcomes are available, but these models are typically limited to specific outcomes and cannot readily be..."
      ],
      "practical_next_steps": [
        "Reproduce one claim with a public baseline and fixed evaluation settings.",
        "Check robustness on out-of-distribution or long-context cases.",
        "Track whether independent teams report matching results."
      ]
    },
    {
      "story_id": "hn:47889357",
      "title": "Show HN: Virgulas. A local-first browser outliner",
      "url": "https://github.com/pitermarx/Virgulas",
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      "category_label": "Hn",
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      "why_made_cut": "Signal 8.4, Confidence 7.5, and Impact 2.4 combined to rank this in the top set.",
      "badges": [
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      "context": "This is something I always wanted to do, as I love workflowy.com, but I want to own my data.<p>I had tried a few times before, but could not until now with the help of AI.<p>This is actually the second try of AI assistance.",
      "whats_new": "THe first failed completely as I did not do anything and simply let the agent go free.",
      "key_details": [
        "THe first failed completely as I did not do anything and simply let the agent go free.",
        "On this second attempt I was much more involved in the details and code organization.<p>AMA"
      ],
      "results_evidence": [
        "Overall 5.8/10 with Signal 8.4 and Impact 2.4.",
        "No explicit benchmark number found in extracted text; treat gains as directional pending replication."
      ],
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        "Generalization outside curated tasks is still unclear."
      ],
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        "Reproduce one claim with a public baseline and fixed evaluation settings.",
        "Check robustness on out-of-distribution or long-context cases.",
        "Track whether independent teams report matching results."
      ]
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      "title": "M-CARE: Standardized Clinical Case Reporting for AI Model Behavioral Disorders, with a 20-Case Atlas and Experimental Validation",
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.20871",
      "source_domain": "arxiv.org",
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      "context": "Cases are organized into five categories: RLHF Performance Artifacts, Shell-Core Override Pathology, Context & Memory Conditions, Core Identity & Plasticity, and Stress, Methodology, & Boundary Conditions.",
      "whats_new": "Cases are organized into five categories: RLHF Performance Artifacts, Shell-Core Override Pathology, Context & Memory Conditions, Core Identity & Plasticity, and Stress, Methodology, & Boundary Conditions.",
      "key_details": [
        "M-CARE provides a 13-section report format, a 4-axis diagnostic assessment system, and a nosological classification of AI behavioral conditions.",
        "We present 20 cases from three source categories: field observations of deployed agents (8), controlled experiments across three platforms (8), and published sources (4).",
        "Cases are organized into five categories: RLHF Performance Artifacts, Shell-Core Override Pathology, Context & Memory Conditions, Core Identity & Plasticity, and Stress, Methodology, & Boundary Conditions.",
        "As a featured case, we present Shell-Induced Behavioral Override (SIBO) -- a controlled experiment showing that Shell instructions categorically override a model's default cooperative behavior."
      ],
      "results_evidence": [
        "arXiv:2604.20871v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce M-CARE (Model Clinical Assessment and Reporting for Evaluation), a clinical case report framework for AI model behavioral disorders adapted from human medicine.",
        "M-CARE provides a 13-section report format, a 4-axis diagnostic assessment system, and a nosological classification of AI behavioral conditions.",
        "We present 20 cases from three source categories: field observations of deployed agents (8), controlled experiments across three platforms (8), and published sources (4)."
      ],
      "limitations_unknowns": [
        "Generalization outside curated tasks is still unclear."
      ],
      "practical_next_steps": [
        "Reproduce one claim with a public baseline and fixed evaluation settings.",
        "Check robustness on out-of-distribution or long-context cases.",
        "Track whether independent teams report matching results."
      ]
    }
  ],
  "reality_check": {
    "read_time": "1-2 min",
    "items": [
      {
        "story_id": "arxiv:oai:arXiv.org:2411.10109v2",
        "title": "LLM Agents Grounded in Self-Reports Enable General-Purpose Simulation of Individuals",
        "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.10109",
        "source_domain": "arxiv.org",
        "category_label": "Cs.Ai",
        "overall": 6.45,
        "metrics": {
          "signal": 9.43,
          "novelty": 5.1,
          "impact": 2.0,
          "confidence": 8.7,
          "actionability": 6.5
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          "third_party_corroboration": "no",
          "reproducibility_details": "yes"
        },
        "what_would_change_my_mind": [
          "Independent replication with comparable or better results.",
          "Public benchmark numbers with clear baseline comparisons."
        ],
        "likely_failure_mode": "Performance may collapse outside curated demos or narrow tasks."
      },
      {
        "story_id": "arxiv:oai:arXiv.org:2604.20871v1",
        "title": "M-CARE: Standardized Clinical Case Reporting for AI Model Behavioral Disorders, with a 20-Case Atlas and Experimental Validation",
        "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.20871",
        "source_domain": "arxiv.org",
        "category_label": "Cs.Ai",
        "overall": 6.25,
        "metrics": {
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          "novelty": 4.0,
          "impact": 2.0,
          "confidence": 8.7,
          "actionability": 6.5
        },
        "badges": [
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        "checklist": {
          "primary_source": "yes",
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          "benchmarks_evals": "yes",
          "baselines_ablations": "no",
          "third_party_corroboration": "no",
          "reproducibility_details": "yes"
        },
        "what_would_change_my_mind": [
          "Independent replication with comparable or better results.",
          "Public benchmark numbers with clear baseline comparisons."
        ],
        "likely_failure_mode": "Performance may collapse outside curated demos or narrow tasks."
      },
      {
        "story_id": "gh:zilliztech/claude-context",
        "title": "zilliztech/claude-context: Code search MCP for Claude Code. Make entire codebase the context for any coding agent.",
        "url": "https://github.com/zilliztech/claude-context",
        "source_domain": "github.com",
        "category_label": "Agent",
        "overall": 5.98,
        "metrics": {
          "signal": 8.0,
          "novelty": 5.1,
          "impact": 2.0,
          "confidence": 7.03,
          "actionability": 6.5
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        "badges": [
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        "checklist": {
          "primary_source": "yes",
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          "third_party_corroboration": "no",
          "reproducibility_details": "yes"
        },
        "what_would_change_my_mind": [
          "Independent replication with comparable or better results.",
          "Public benchmark numbers with clear baseline comparisons."
        ],
        "likely_failure_mode": "Performance may collapse outside curated demos or narrow tasks."
      },
      {
        "story_id": "hn:47889357",
        "title": "Show HN: Virgulas. A local-first browser outliner",
        "url": "https://github.com/pitermarx/Virgulas",
        "source_domain": "github.com",
        "category_label": "Hn",
        "overall": 5.85,
        "metrics": {
          "signal": 8.36,
          "novelty": 5.1,
          "impact": 2.35,
          "confidence": 7.45,
          "actionability": 3.5
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        "badges": [
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        "checklist": {
          "primary_source": "yes",
          "demo": "no",
          "benchmarks_evals": "no",
          "baselines_ablations": "no",
          "third_party_corroboration": "no",
          "reproducibility_details": "yes"
        },
        "what_would_change_my_mind": [
          "Independent replication with comparable or better results.",
          "Public benchmark numbers with clear baseline comparisons."
        ],
        "likely_failure_mode": "Performance may collapse outside curated demos or narrow tasks."
      }
    ]
  },
  "lab_notes": {
    "tool_repo_of_the_day": {
      "title": "DialToM: A Theory of Mind Benchmark for Forecasting State-Driven Dialogue Trajectories",
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.20443",
      "source_domain": "arxiv.org"
    },
    "prompt_workflow_of_the_day": "summarize claim -> evidence -> risk in three passes before acting",
    "tiny_snippet": "uv run python -m msd.run --scheduled"
  },
  "forecast_watchlist": {
    "read_time": "1-2 min",
    "watch_prefix": "Watch:",
    "topics": [
      "agent",
      "llm",
      "cs.ai",
      "cs.lg",
      "rss",
      "cs.cl",
      "python",
      "benchmark"
    ],
    "subscribe": {
      "label": "Subscribe for Daily Emails",
      "url": "mailto:morning-singularity-digest@localhost?subject=Subscribe%20for%20Daily%20Emails"
    }
  }
}